"比特币将变得'更稳定'并超越黄金:比特币标准作者观点"
Bitcoin will become ‘less volatile’ and larger than gold: ‘The Bitcoin Standard’ author
比特币标准作者 Saifedean Ammous 认为,比特币的波动性将降低,并可能超越黄金的市场资本化。他回应了关于比特币波动性过高不适合作为交易媒介的观点,并指出比特币作为货币的使用正在展开。此外,Bitwise 预测比特币价格将在 2029 年达到 100 万美元,而 Blockstream 首席执行官 Adam Back 预测比特币将开始与黄金在货币避险方面的用途相竞争。
Saifedean Ammous, the author of the 2018 academic book “The Bitcoin Standard,” said that Bitcoin already functions as a medium of exchange and that volatility’s effect on that is likely to diminish.
Bitcoin (BTC) can serve as a medium of exchange as it becomes less volatile than gold while surpassing the market capitalization of the largest precious metal, wrote Ammous in a Tuesday X post.
“Holding Bitcoin is using Bitcoin as money, and its lack of widespread use as a method of payment is no evidence against its monetization unfolding,” added Ammous.
The remarks come in response to a passage in Professor Lawrence H. White’s book, “Better Money: Gold, Fiat, or Bitcoin?,” which argued that Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it too volatile to serve as a medium of exchange.
“With no supply response to demand swings, BTC’s price is too volatile for people who want a reliable medium of exchange,” wrote White in a Monday X post, referencing chapter six of his book. He added that the lack of supply response was the reason stablecoins have “eaten BTC’s lunch transaction volume.”
Other industry watchers have also predicted that Bitcoin would eventually surpass gold. In May 2025, Bitwise’s head of European research, André Dragosch, told Cointelegraph that their in-house prediction forecasts a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2029, which would make Bitcoin match gold’s market capitalization.
However, Bitcoin’s current $1.6 trillion market capitalization would need to grow by at least 18-fold to surpass Gold’s near $29 trillion market cap to become the leading global asset.
In April 2025, Blockstream CEO Adam Back predicted Bitcoin will start rivaling gold’s use cases as a monetary hedge, due to global financial instability and rising fiat inflation.
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来源:Cointelegraph · cointelegraph.com