美国就业数据不佳，比特币价格短暂上涨

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U.S. stocks were also gaining as oil fell more than 3% and yields continued to ease from recent highs.

Bitcoin could get boost as weak jobs report pressures dollar, LMAX strategist says

A weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report could pressure the dollar and give risk assets, including bitcoin, more room to rise.

U.S. payrolls rose by 29,000 in September, well below expectations for about 90,000, while unemployment climbed to 4.2%. Wage growth also missed forecasts.

LMAX Group market strategist Joel Kruger said the data strengthens the case for an unwind of crowded bets on a stronger dollar. That could push Treasury yields lower and reduce the U.S. rate advantage, conditions that can support risk assets such as bitcoin.

Kruger also said lower oil prices could reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten policy.

Bitcoin briefly rose above $87,000 during U.S. morning hours before retreating to $85,500.

Nasdaq 100 hits all-time high

Ten minutes into the U.S. trading session, and following the soft U.S. jobs report, the Nasdaq 100 is up more than 1% on Friday, hitting an all-time high, trading just shy of 31,000. The S&P 500 has gained 1%, putting it less than 1% below its all-time high. Bitcoin is trading above $87,000, up more than 2.5%.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY), Treasury yields and oil prices are extending their declines, supporting gains in risk assets.

Bitcoin’s next key level is $90,000 after breaking $86,000 resistance, 21Shares says

Bitcoin is testing $87,000 after breaking through resistance between $85,000 and $86,000, putting $90,000 in focus as its next potential hurdle.

Matt Mena, senior crypto research strategist at 21Shares, said the weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report could help bitcoin clear $87,000, a level that has capped the cryptocurrency for much of the year.

If bitcoin breaks through that resistance, Mena sees $90,000 as the next key level, followed by $97,000. He said softer economic data could support risk assets as expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes decline, while strong spot bitcoin ETF inflows could provide added support.

October rate hike nearly off the board after jobs numbers point to slowdown

Traders all week had been shedding bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike later this month.

According to CME FedWatch — which compiles its numbers from trader movements in short-term interest rate futures — the odds of a Fed move on Oct. 28 were at 70% just days ago.

They had fallen to about 25% early Friday following dovish remarks from the Fed’s John Williams on Wednesday and Philip Jefferson yesterday.

Now, after disappointing jobs numbers for September were released (including sizable downward revisions for July and August), the odds of a hike this month have plunged to just 13%.

Looking to the next meeting in December, there’s now a 25% chance the Fed doesn’t hike at all for the rest of 2026. Those odds were less than 10% earlier in the week.

Still to come in coming days, though, is inflation data for September. Stay tuned.

U.S. jobs data disappoints

The U.S. labor market showed weakness in September, potentially giving the Federal Reserve room to hold interest rates even as inflation remains elevated.

The U.S. added 29,000 jobs in September, according to the government’s Nonfarm Payrolls Report released Friday morning. That was below the consensus forecast of 90,000 and compared with August’s gain of 133,000 (revised down from an originally reported 162,000).

The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, versus expectations of 4.1% and August’s reading of 4.1%.

In addition to August’s downward revision, July’s 21,000 jobs gain was revised to a jobs loss of 10,000.

Already higher on the session, bitcoin continued just under $87,000 in the minutes following the release. U.S. stock index futures were adding to gains, the Nasdaq rising 1.2%.

The 10-year Treasury yield slumped by 7 basis points to 5.17%, and the 2-year yield fell by a similar margin to 4.71%. Gold gained more than 1%, and the greenback fell versus major currencies.

Checking other report numbers, average hourly earnings rose just 0.1% last month, well shy of forecasts for 0.3% and August’s 0.3%. On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings were higher by 3% against forecasts for 3.2% and August’s 3.1%.

French bond yield spread to Germany continues to rise

A sharp drop in the German 10-year Bund yield, combined with continued gains in the French 10-year OAT yield, has widened the spread between the two to 152 basis points.

This spread is typically in the 50-80 basis points range.

During the European debt crisis of 2011, the spread blew out to roughly 190 basis points, so current conditions are approaching those levels.

The difference now: Inflation in 2011 was more or less non-existent, allowing the ECB to provide the necessary monetary ease to defuse the crisis. The ECB today, though, is dealing with growing inflation issues and has been in policy-tightening mode.

Bitcoin rises above $86,000 as markets await U.S. jobs report

Bitcoin is up almost 2% over the past 24 hours, trading above $86,000 as markets await the week’s biggest macroeconomic release, the U.S. jobs report. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, with nonfarm payrolls forecast to rise by 90,000.

Precious metals are also edging higher, with gold trading just below $4,200 an ounce and silver above $61. WTI crude oil has fallen 4% over the past 24 hours to below $90 a barrel, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has eased slightly to 5.22%. While, tech futures are also up roughly 0.60%.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains strong above 102.

The Definitive Stablecoin Landscape Series: Asia Pacific

As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.

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As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.

Why it matters:

As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.

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